Early Warning in UN Peacekeeping

My second strand of research focuses on early warning in peacekeeping missions.

After my PhD, I delved into peacekeeping data from the UNAMID mission in Darfur, during a post-doc at the University of Manchester. This allowed me to explore early warning systems in peacekeeping operations. I conducted a study that compared peacekeeping situation-reports with public conflict data, pointing to the comprehensiveness and precision of peacekeeping data. As part of this research, I also conducted interviews in Mali, developing a framework that addresses the implications of both information overload and scarcity, as well as points to the importance of the context in which early warning is obtained. Together with John Karlsrud, I have also conducted research on predictive peacekeeping and reflected on how the protection of civilians norm has led to an entire ecosystem of early warning tools across the UN system. Additionally, as part of my research interest in early warning, I am involved in a project at ETH Zurich on conflict forecasting in the context of peace operations, collaborating with the UN Operations Crisis Center (UNOCC) to explore these possibilities. The findings of this project have been presented during a UN Security Council meeting.