Allard Duursma
  • Bio
  • Projects
  • Publications
  • Consultancy & Impact
  • Teaching
  • Pictures
  • Projects
    • Legitimacy, Capacity, and International Mediation in Civil Wars
    • The Politics of Local Peacemaking
    • Coercive Mediation in Internationalized Conflicts
    • The Peace Observatory
    • Webs of War
    • International Mediation in Civil Wars
    • Early Warning in UN Peacekeeping
    • Local Peace Processes
    • Resistance Against Peacekeeping and Host-State Consent
    • Transnational Conflict
  • Publications
    • The Perils of Deadline Diplomacy for Ceasefires
    • Civilian Protection in Theory and Practice
    • Crises and Negotiations in Mutual Interventions
    • Peacekeepers Without Helmets: How Violence Shapes Local Peacebuilding by Civilian Peacekeepers
    • The Impact of Host-State Consent on the Protection of Civilians in UN Peacekeeping
    • Tracing the Footsteps of Peace: Examining the Locations of UN Peacekeeping Patrols
    • UN Peacekeeping at 75: Achievements, Challenges, and Prospects
    • Forum: Making Peace with Un-Certainty: Reflections on the Role of Digital Technology in Peace Processes beyond the Data Hype
    • Blurred Lines or Spatial Clustering? Assessing the Association between Peacekeeping Presence and Attacks against Humanitarians in Darfur
    • Combat, commitment, and the termination of Africa’s mutual interventions
    • International Mediation in the Wake of a Failed Peace Agreement: Postagreement Mediation to Resolve the Civil War in Darfur
    • Introducing the African Peace Processes (APP) dataset: Negotiations and mediation in interstate, intrastate and non-state conflicts in Africa
    • Norm Fixation: The Role of Implementation Practices in the Development of the Protection of Civilians Norm
    • Peacekeeping, Mediation, and the Conclusion of Local Ceasefires in Non-State Conflicts
    • Glee and Grievance: Emotive Events and Campaign Size in Nonviolent Resistance
    • Non-state conflicts, peacekeeping, and the conclusion of local agreements
    • State Weakness, a Fragmented Patronage-Based System, and Protracted Local Conflict in the Central African Republic
    • Non-state conflicts, peacekeeping, and the conclusion of local agreements
    • Glee and Grievance: Emotive Events and Campaign Escalation in Nonviolent Resistance
    • Russia’s return to Africa in a historical and global context: Anti-imperialism, patronage, and opportunism
    • When to Get Out of the Trench? Using Smart Pressure to Resolve Civil Wars
    • Why Peace Does Not Trickle Down: State Weakness, a Fragmented Patronage-Based System, and Protracted Local Conflict in the Central African Republic
    • Forum: Conflict Delegation in Civil Wars
    • Technologies of Peace
    • Making disorder more manageable: The short-term effectiveness of local mediation in Darfur
    • Not All Ceasefires Are Created Equal: The Role of Third Party Manipulation in Sudan’s Major Ceasefire Agreements
    • Fueling Factionalism? The Impact of Peace Processes on Rebel Group Fragmentation in Civil Wars
    • Mutual Interventions in Africa
    • Pinioning the Peacekeepers: Sovereignty, Host-State Resistance against Peacekeeping Missions, and Violence against Civilians
    • Pursuing justice, obstructing peace: the impact of ICC arrest warrants on resolving civil wars
    • African Solutions to African Challenges: The Role of Legitimacy in Mediating Civil Wars in Africa
    • Third Party Legitimacy and International Mediation: Peacemaking through Pan-Africanism in Sudan
    • Voted out: Regime type, elections and contributions to United Nations peacekeeping operations
    • Mediating Solutions to Territorial Civil Wars in Africa: Norms, Interests, and Major Power Leverage
    • Re-describing transnational conflict in Africa
    • He who payed the piper, calls the tune? Non-African involvement in Sudan’s African-led mediation processes
    • The ICC indictment against Al-Bashir and its repercussions for peacekeeping and humanitarian operations in Darfur
    • Introducing an Agenda-based Measurement of Mediation Success: The Divergent Effects of the Manipulation Strategy in African Civil Wars
    • Obstruction and intimidation of peacekeepers: How armed actors undermine civilian protection efforts
    • Predictive Peacekeeping: Strengthening Predictive Analysis in UN Peace Operations
    • Globalization and Security
    • Information Processing Challenges in Peacekeeping Operations: A Case Study on Peacekeeping Information Collection Efforts in Mali
    • Hurdles to peace: a level-of-analysis approach to resolving Sudan’s civil wars
    • Counting Deaths While Keeping Peace: An Assessment of the JMAC's Field Information and Analysis Capacity in Darfur
    • Modelling Violence as Disease? Exploring the Possibilities of Epidemiological Analysis for Peacekeeping Data in Darfur
    • Partnering to Make Peace: The Effectiveness of Joint African and Non-African Mediation Efforts
    • When to Get Out of the Trench? Using Smart Pressure to Resolve Civil Wars
    • A current literature review of international mediation
    • Mediation with muscles or minds?’ Lessons from a conflict sensitive mediation style in Darfur

Predictive Peacekeeping: Strengthening Predictive Analysis in UN Peace Operations

Feb 1, 2019·
Allard Duursma
,
John Karlsrud
· 0 min read
Cite DOI URL
Type
Journal article
Publication
Stability: International Journal of Security and Development
Last updated on Feb 1, 2019
← Obstruction and intimidation of peacekeepers: How armed actors undermine civilian protection efforts Mar 1, 2019
Globalization and Security Dec 1, 2018 →

© {2025} Allard Duursma. This work is licensed under CC BY NC ND 4.0

Published with Hugo Blox Builder — the free, open source website builder that empowers creators.